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junior college 1 | H1 Maths
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Pls help with iii and iv
P (at least one box out of n boxes which have > 2 defective toys) > 0.95
1 - P(no boxes have > 2 defective toys) > 0.95
1 - 0.95 > P(no boxes have > 2 defective toys)
0.05 > P (all boxes have ≤ 2 defective toys)
Recall that P(one box has > 2 defective toys) is 0.268.
So P(one box has ≤ 2 defective toys)
= 1 - 0.268 = 0.732
Since there are n boxes,
when 0.05 > P (all boxes have ≤ 2 defective toys)
0.05 > 0.732^n
(0.732 for first box, X 0.732 for second box, X 0.732 for third box, X 0.732 for fourth... .... X 0.732 for the nth box)
Take ln on both sides,(you can use log too whichever you prefer)
ln 0.05 > ln (0.732)^n
ln 0.05 > n ln(0.732)
ln 0.05/ln 0.732 < n
(note that sign changes as ln 0.732 is negative. Recall that sign changes when dividing by a negative value)
9.6024827 < n
n > 9.602487
So least value of n = 10
10 randomly chosen boxes.
Number of toys = 10 x 30 = 300
You can treat this as a binomial distribution with 300 trials (n=300),
p = 0.06.
Letting X be the number of defective toys,
X ∼ B(300,0.06)
P( < 17 toys are defective)
= P( ≤ 16 toys are defective)
= P ( X ≤ 16)
Key in binomcdf(300,0.06,16) into your GC.
You should get 0.36954287062
≈ 0.370
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