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secondary 4 | E Maths
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Candice lim
Candice Lim

secondary 4 chevron_right E Maths chevron_right Singapore

Hi, may I know why is 0.7 rejected? I was wondering if we could see these events as dependent events since people are selected without replacement, so 1-(55/100*54/99)=0.7
Kindly advise, thank you so much :)

Date Posted: 2 years ago
Views: 398
J
J
2 years ago
You cannnot assume that the city has only 100 people.

Let's say the city has 1000 people.

The probability would be :

1 - (550/1000 × 549/999) ≈ 0.6977

If the city had 10000 people then the probability would be :

1 - (5500/10000 × 5499/9999) ≈ 0.69752

As you increase the number of people in the city, the probability will tend towards 0.6975


Which is equal to 1 - 0.55 × 0.55
Candice lim
Candice Lim
2 years ago
Thank you so much Mr J :)
Wow! I've learnt something new from you. Awesome explanation, I understand now.
Thanks again and I hope you have a good evening.
J
J
2 years ago
Welcome.

This question mainly deals with the extremes, i.e the limit when population goes to infinity.
Candice lim
Candice Lim
2 years ago
oh I see...:)

Noted with thanks, Mr J.

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PhysChemTutor
Physchemtutor's answer
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Candice lim
Candice Lim
2 years ago
Thanks Mr Yong.
PhysChemTutor
PhysChemTutor
2 years ago
Hi Candice, when you use 55/100 and 54/99 you are assuming that there are only 100 people in the population. In fact the population size is taken as so large that the p = .55 can be taken as constant.
Candice lim
Candice Lim
2 years ago
Notes with thanks, Mr Yong.